737 MAX updates

Due to recent news and market feedback, we are again revising our 737 MAX delivery backlog based on the following new logic:

  • We believe that production may restart in May 2020, but starting at a low rate and reaching a rate of 42 per month by end of year.
  • We believe that deliveries may restart in July 2020 and potentially reach 70 per month by end of the year. We estimate there will be 330 deliveries this year – of which at least 154 will be from the fleet currently in storage.
  • 2021 – we now estimate 745 deliveries in this year and all the stored aircraft will be cleared by November 2021.
  • 2022 – we now estimate 604 deliveries in this year and for Boeing to reach a production rate of 52 per month late in the year.
  • 2023 – we now estimate 674 deliveries in this year and for Boeing to reach a production rate of 57 per month.